Well, it's that time of year again, time for the Breeders' Cup races. The 2013 edition looks to be a good one, with the usual handicapping and ValueCapping challenges with large fields, odd distances, and horses making their first starts in the U.S. I've made a video for you with some pointers on what our big advantage is in this great game, and advice on how to handle 'big days' such as the Breeders' Cup and Kentucky Derby. There's also some information on odds lines and randomness-it's amazing to me how many otherwise astute handicappers are not fully conversant with these concepts. Most of the video is a 'look over my shoulder' video, where I take you through my analysis of the Breeders' Cup 2013 races as I ValueCapped them using Black Magic: The Ultimate Handicapper Software. I hope you enjoy. And good luck at Breeders' Cup and always!
The 2013 Breeders' Cup to be held as Santa Anita November 1st and 2nd has announced the race schedule and type of wagers for each race.
Breeders' Cup is always an interesting day of racing. Many of the races are filled with unknowns, mainly foreign horses with no U.S. running lines. Then there are those races that are so competitive that 7 or 8 horses have a legitimate shot. I've always been partial to the Breeders' Cup sprints which often project as Highly Pressured, and favor late running horses with fast closing fractions.
An overlooked strategy on Breeders' Cup day is to focus on the undercards at the other tracks. There is a lot of amateur 'fun' money in the pools on Breeders' Cup, and it's possible to find the public making obvious betting errors in the undercards.
Here's the schedule:
Welcome to our new blog. Here you’ll find news about horse racing that applies to you, the ValueCapper, handicapper, investor, breeder, owner, or trainer. For those of you who don’t know me, I’m Michael Pizzolla, President of Post Time Solutions, Inc. and co-author of the best-selling book Handicapping Magic and the classic Pace Makes The Race, former charter member of PIRCO, and I’ve been called a pioneer in computer handicapping for having the first company to put a full featured racing form online (even before there was an internet!)
This blog will be a combination of curated articles. Every day, I scour the web to find information that will be of interest to the ValueCapper and handicapper. No puff pieces about how a billionaire owner loves his new 2 year old filly, but solid information that you can use. In addition, you’ll find articles and videos about the art and science of ValueCapping™, finding horses you like that the public shouldn’t.
I’ve included a number of older posts that have been scattered around the web on various websites, so there all in one place for your reading and searching public.
I thought I’d have my first post on this blog be a video I did for the Wizards’ Forum (this forum is for the users of Black Magic: The Ultimate Handicapper Software™) called The Biggest Difference.
If you’ve ever wondered what the biggest difference is between the amateur and the pro, the tyro and the expert, or if you’ve wanted to make professional style bets, I think you’ll enjoy this video. It’s divided into part 1 and part 2 for your convenience: