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Michael Pizzolla's 2013 Breeders' Cup ValueCapping™ Rant

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Well, it's that time of year again, time for the Breeders' Cup races. The 2013 edition looks to be a good one, with the usual handicapping and ValueCapping challenges with large fields, odd distances, and horses making their first starts in the U.S. I've made a video for you with some pointers on what our big advantage is in this great game, and advice on how to handle 'big days' such as the Breeders' Cup and Kentucky Derby. There's also some information on odds lines and randomness-it's amazing to me how many otherwise astute handicappers are not fully conversant with these concepts. Most of the video is a 'look over my shoulder' video, where I take you through my analysis of the Breeders' Cup 2013 races as I ValueCapped them using Black Magic: The Ultimate Handicapper Software. I hope you enjoy. And good luck at Breeders' Cup and always!

in Articles, Breeders' Cup, ValueCapping by Michael Pizzolla 3 Comments


  1. Gary Atkinson

    HI MIKE!
    Great Rant–Is there anywhere i can go for info on what goes into your contention line
    thanks gary

    • Michael Pizzolla

      Hi Gary,

      Thanks for the kind words about the Rant. The Contention Line you see on the video is proprietary to BLAM. Having said that, you can use one of your own making by thinking of how the public handicaps and uses the standard tools of speed, pace, form, and class. For example, the public is very influenced by RECENT high speed numbers, and will tend to underbet horses with good back numbers that may be coming to a race.

      All the best,


  2. Edna Marcal

    Thanks for a very well put together rant again. How right you are Friday & Saturday should be viewed as any other racing investment day. Business as Usual should be our approach. If you want to have ‘fun’, by all means have fun (from your mad money fund!).

    Again Thanks,