From The Desk Of Michael Pizzolla
May 5, 2016 1:37 PM
Las Vegas, Nevada
Dear ValueCapper and Friend,
This Saturday is Kentucky Derby Day! The 2016 Kentucky Derby is the 142nd running of the race and will be the 12th race at Churchill Downs this Saturday, May 7, 2016.
As I write this, it’s Thursday afternoon, I don’t know what the weather will be like, don’t know if the two Also Eligibles will draw in due to an unforeseen scratch, I don’t know if a key player in the pace scenario will be scratched, etc.
In this ValueCapping Video Rant, I’ll talk with you about the core differences between the Stage 1 player-the handicapper and the Stage 2 player-the ValueCapper.
There’s a very interesting lesson in this year’s Derby-an unusual one. This year, the positional set up of the races seems to favor an early placed horse, while the velocity analysis favors the closers.
I’ll show you how I handle this situation using tools such as the Track Profile, AccuPressureV2, and some common sense.
In the end, the price will be the final determining factor of whether there’s a decent investment.
I’ll also show you how I make some very simple adjustments to the software’s calls, as I did in last year’s Derby. While I don’t do that often, this year’s Derby calls for it.
While Nyquist may be tough to beat, there are a few other colts that may be worth a second look.
I’ll also take you through 3 other races from the Churchill Downs card-they can often provide decent overlays because of the ‘big day’ crowd that’s pouring money into the pools without knowing what they’re doing.
As it turned out, one of those races is a very simple call, one is fairly straightforward, one requires some work, and then there’s the Derby with the usual complications.
I’ll also have a progress report for you on the ValueCapper software. All of the numbers, changes to the lines, etc., etc. have been finalized, and now it’s just a matter of getting the instructional site organized, and the programming for the new style security devices done. Thanks for your patience on this, but I assure you it will be well worth waiting for. There’s also an update on the pricing changes on the Forum and Unlimited data that applies to those on the Wizards’ Forum. You’ll be getting a snail mail letter for me bringing you up to date, but the good news is that the price change won’t take effect until June 1 rather than May 1 as originally planned.
A big thank you also for your support and encouragement, and the many kind emails. I appreciate it more than I can tell you.
Hope this finds you well, enjoy the Kentucky Derby, and remember to let the bet make you!
All the best,