From The Desk Of Michael Pizzolla
Las Vegas, Nevada
June 8, 2016 2:47 PM
Dear ValueCapper and Friend,
The 149th running of The Belmont Stakes, will be here in two days.
Neither the Kentucky Derby winner, Always Dreaming, nor the Preakness winner, Cloud Computing, will be running in the race.
One of the favorites in the Derby-last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner-Classic Empire is also out, with an abscess on it’s right front hoof.
In fact, the only colt running that ran in both the Derby and Preakness is Lookin At Lee, runner up in the Derby.
A mile and a half is not a great distance for a pace handicapper. Incremental pace numbers tend to be less reliable once one gets past a mile and 3/16s.
Not surprisingly, the Black Magic 1.0 Handicapper Software Odds Line, does not indicate a stickout horse, as you might expect. Once again, there’s are some interesting wrinkles having to do with the Track Profile and how the past Belmont Stakes winners have positioned themselves in the race and how they expended their energy.
I did a video for you on the Belmont Stakes, and also looked at some races from the Belmont undercard. Very often on these big days, the undercards are more profitable than the ‘big races’. I don’t have all the final cards yet (it’s over 2 days before the Belmont), but I did find an interesting race at Louisiana Downs as well.
In this video, I accepted a challenge from a Black Magic Handicapper user who asked me to demonstrate how I move around the software rather than doing prepared slides.
So, I’ve done just that to give you an idea of how the value bet emerges-or doesn’t-from looking at the race with the software. I had to slow down a bit, as sometimes the computer can’t keep up with how fast I fly around the various screens, but you’ll get the idea.
Remember that the purpose of these ValueCapping™ Rants is to reinforce the concepts and framework of ValueCapping™, rather that a ‘who do ya like’ video. Because no matter what happens in those specific races, the ValueCapping approach will stand you in very good stead.
I just finished a video in the upcoming ValueCapping™ Revolution Basic Training Course on the shift from ‘handicapper/horseplayer’ to Investor/ ValueCapper. Making this shift is more than just words. It’s like playing a different, more successful, game.
That course will be released in a few weeks, and I’ll let you know exactly how to get it.
I hope this finds you well, and I’d like to extend again my sincere thanks to you for all the kind words, email, support, and encouragement. You can always email me at firstname.lastname@example.org and let me know of your progress or ask any questions you have. (If you have technical questions, you’ll get a quicker answer by emailing email@example.com) As it’s Belmont week, be patient with me, as it may take me some extra time to get back to you.
Best of luck always and remember to let the bet make you!
All the best,